The End of TRIR: Why the Standard Safety Metric is Failing the Workforce

For decades, the Total Recordable Incident Rate (TRIR) has been the gold standard for measuring workplace safety. But what if the metric is mathematically flawed, highly randomized, and actively encouraging workers to hide their injuries?

In this provocative Aclaimant Fireside Chat, we sit down with Tim Walsh, VP of Safety and Training at Townsend Company, to discuss his crusade against TRIR and why the industry needs a new approach to measuring risk.

 

The Challenge: The Problem with TRIR

TRIR was originally designed by OSHA as a simple way to track and trend injuries that required more than basic first aid. But over time, the metric became weaponized. Today, companies are hired, fired, and awarded massive bonuses strictly based on their TRIR score.

As Tim explains, there are three massive flaws with this approach:

  1. Unequal Weighting: In the TRIR calculation, a single stitch and a workplace fatality count exactly the same. Both are simply a "1" in the column.
  2. Zero Predictive Value: A massive study analyzing 3.2 trillion person-hours of data concluded that between 96% and 98% of TRIR fluctuation is completely random. The number has no predictive value for future safety.
  3. Dangerous Incentives: When millions of dollars in contracts or crew bonuses are tied to keeping TRIR low, it creates an intense, unspoken pressure to not report minor injuries.

 

The Alternative: Focusing on SIFs

Rather than devoting massive administrative resources to tracking poison ivy rashes and minor cuts, Tim advocates for a shift toward tracking SIFs: Serious Injuries and Fatalities. By focusing on incidents that permanently alter or end lives, safety teams can redirect their resources toward mitigating actual high-energy hazards.

Fixing the Data Problem

One of the biggest hurdles to abandoning TRIR is the reliance on legacy technology. Many organizations rely on disparate systems—paper job briefings in one place, claims data in another, and archaic observation platforms.

"We're asking the right questions, but we need to collect the data in a way that we can organize, synthesize, and learn from it," Tim notes. By upgrading to modern, unified risk management systems like Aclaimant, companies can stop chasing meaningless numbers and start cycling actionable insights back to the field.

Watch the Full Conversation

Ready to rethink how your organization measures safety? Watch the full Fireside Chat with Tim Walsh to hear his perspective on OSHA regulations, the "10-year" complacency spike, and the future of safety data.

 

Ready to speak with the Aclaimant team?  Complete the form below to get schedule time.

 

 

 

"A single stitch and a death have the exact same weight in TRIR. So right off the bat, we started going down the path we probably shouldn't have... Between 96% and 98% of your TRIR is completely random. Yet we hold that number up, we get kicked off of properties, and we give or take away bonuses based on it. The whole system is flawed."

Tim Walsh, VP Safety and Training, The Townsend Company, LLC NFP